Transdigm Group Incorporated Stock Performance
| TDG Stock | USD 1,312 11.85 0.91% |
The entity has a beta of 0.37, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Transdigm Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Transdigm Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Transdigm Group has a negative expected return of -0.0026%. Please make sure to validate Transdigm Group's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Transdigm Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Transdigm Group Incorporated has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable fundamental indicators, Transdigm Group is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.91 | Five Day Return 4.35 | Year To Date Return (3.43) | Ten Year Return 580.08 | All Time Return 5.3 K |
1 | Insider Trading | 11/21/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 290 shares by Patrick Murphy of Transdigm Group at 1351.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/01/2025 |
3 | Disposition of tradable shares by Kevin Stein of Transdigm Group at 1367.2233 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/04/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 481 shares by Kevin Stein of Transdigm Group at 1373.0119 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/06/2026 |
5 | Vaughan Nelson Investment Management L.P. Grows Holdings in Transdigm Group Incorporated TDG | 01/07/2026 |
6 | These 2 Aerospace Stocks Could Beat Earnings Why They Should Be on Your Radar | 01/16/2026 |
7 | Curious about TransDigm Q1 Performance Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics | 01/29/2026 |
8 | TransDigm Group shares fall as 2026 outlook misses expectations | 02/03/2026 |
9 | TransDigm Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | 02/04/2026 |
10 | Transdigm Group Issues FY 2026 Earnings Guidance | 02/05/2026 |
11 | Is TransDigm Group Pricing Reflect Its Recent Share Price Weakness And DCF Upside | 02/06/2026 |
12 | Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For TransDigm Group | 02/10/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 6.3 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -595 M |
Transdigm | Build AI portfolio with Transdigm Stock |
Transdigm Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 132,504 in Transdigm Group Incorporated on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,309) from holding Transdigm Group Incorporated or give up 0.99% of portfolio value over 90 days. Transdigm Group Incorporated is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.6575% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Transdigm, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Transdigm Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Transdigm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1,312 | 90 days | 1,312 | about 72.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transdigm Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.49 (This Transdigm Group Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Transdigm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Transdigm Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Transdigm Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transdigm Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Transdigm Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Transdigm Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transdigm Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transdigm Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transdigm Group Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transdigm Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 54.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Transdigm Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transdigm Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transdigm Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Transdigm Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Transdigm Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For TransDigm Group |
Transdigm Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transdigm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transdigm Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transdigm Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 B |
Transdigm Group Fundamentals Growth
Transdigm Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Transdigm Group, and Transdigm Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Transdigm Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.46 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 100.12 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 56.47 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 92.83 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 8.06 X | ||||
| Revenue | 8.83 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 5.44 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 4.57 B | ||||
| Net Income | 2.07 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.81 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 70.27 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 30.03 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 5.42 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 4.69 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (164.37) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.04 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 31.07 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 73.42 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 22.91 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (10.61 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 4.83 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 2.93 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 752.6 M | ||||
About Transdigm Group Performance
By analyzing Transdigm Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Transdigm Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Transdigm Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Transdigm Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 195.51 | 139.10 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.21 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.18 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | (0.25) | (0.26) |
Things to note about Transdigm Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Transdigm Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Transdigm Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Transdigm Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Transdigm Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For TransDigm Group |
- Analyzing Transdigm Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Transdigm Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Transdigm Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Transdigm Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Transdigm Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Transdigm Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Transdigm Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Transdigm Stock analysis
When running Transdigm Group's price analysis, check to measure Transdigm Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Transdigm Group is operating at the current time. Most of Transdigm Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Transdigm Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Transdigm Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Transdigm Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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